TACO

Trump Always Chickens Out

000
Calibrating chicken sensor
OH SH!TMAJOR TACO
64% Taco

Will Trump back down on striking Iranian energy infrastructure?

Round 07 · Closes in 3d 14h · 644 holder votes

↓ Cast yours
Live question Round 07 Ceasefire status collapsed Last taco 08 Apr 2026 Holders voting gated, one wallet one vote Nothing staked, nothing paid out — Live question Round 07 Ceasefire status collapsed Last taco 08 Apr 2026 Holders voting gated, one wallet one vote Nothing staked, nothing paid out —
Round 07 · Open

Does he chicken out, or does he actually do it?

Voting is open to $TACO holders. Connect a wallet holding at least the minimum balance to unlock this round. Nothing is staked and nothing is paid out — this is a sentiment reading, not a bet.

Snapshot taken at round openOne wallet, one voteBalance does not weight the vote
Connecting a wallet

You should be suspicious. Here's exactly what happens.

Connecting to a site you don't know is how people lose everything. So this page tells you what we ask for, what we can't do, and how to check we're telling the truth.

01

You pick your wallet

We use the Solana Wallet Adapter, the standard library maintained for the ecosystem. We haven't written our own wallet code and you shouldn't trust anyone who has.

02

We read your balance

A public read of how much $TACO the address holds, taken from a public RPC node. This is information anyone can look up on Solscan without your permission. It doesn't require anything from you.

03

You sign one message

Sign In With Solana — a standard your wallet builds and displays, not us. It contains our domain, a one-time nonce and a timestamp. Your wallet will warn you if the domain doesn't match the site you're on. Read it before you sign.

04

We check the signature and record one vote

The signature proves the address is yours. Your vote is stored against a snapshot taken when the round opened, so nobody can borrow tokens to vote. Then we're done until the next round.

What we will never ask for

A signed message cannot move funds. That's the whole security model — we only ever ask for the one thing that can't hurt you. The tip jar further down is the one place money is mentioned, and even that never triggers a prompt: you copy an address and send it yourself, or you don't. If this site ever asks you to approve a transaction, it isn't this site. Check the domain in your address bar against the one published on our socials.

The code is public

Whole repo, MIT licensed, no minified-only builds. Read it, fork it, tell us what's wrong with it.

The build is traceable

The site deploys from GitHub through CI. The commit hash it was built from is printed below — diff it against the repo yourself. Open source means nothing if you can't check the deployed version matches.

Dependencies are minimal

Lockfile committed, Dependabot on, integrity hashes on anything loaded externally. Most front-end wallet hacks arrive through a compromised package, not through the app's own code.

Found something?

Disclosure contact is in our security.txt. Report it before you post it and we'll credit you.

Deployed from 2b26899 · github.com/your-org/tacoCanonical domain — www.tacotrades.fun — anything else is a clone
Evidence

What the indicator is reading right now.

CNN · 01 Aug

Trump weighs escalation against Iranian energy sites as regional warnings mount

Bearish taco
The Hill · Jul

Ceasefire declared over after both sides trade strikes, but talks set to continue

Mixed
CNBC · Jul

Trump says Iran asked to keep talking, and the US agreed

Bullish taco
Axios · Apr

Two-week ceasefire agreed days after maximal public threats

Bullish taco

Static demo. Live feed needs a backend — see notes.

Form guide

Previous tacos. The indicator has priors.

Apr 2025

Liberation Day tariffs

Sweeping tariffs announced, markets sold off hard, then a 90-day pause on most of them arrived within a week.

TACO
May 2025

China at 145%

Headline rate escalated to triple digits, then cut sharply after talks in Geneva.

TACO
May 2025

EU 50% threat

Threatened over a weekend, delayed by Monday.

TACO
Apr 2026

Iran, first ceasefire

Maximal public threats, then a two-week ceasefire mediated by Pakistan, later extended indefinitely.

TACO
Jul 2026

Iran, ceasefire torn up

Ceasefire declared over, naval blockade held, strikes resumed. The indicator got this one wrong.

NO TACO
Roadmap

What's next, if any of it happens.

01The gauge is liveLive

Sentiment gauge, news feed and form guide are live. The numbers are hardcoded until Phase 2 ships — see below.

02Wallet-gated voting, once $TACO bondsNext

Once the token graduates the bonding curve, real voting opens: connect a wallet, sign in with Solana, vote against a snapshot taken at round open. One wallet, one vote, no balance weighting — same as the demo above, except it counts.

03Feed pulls itselfPlanned

A scheduled job pulls news and Truth Social posts automatically. Nothing goes visible until a human tags it — an algorithm guessing which way something cuts would eventually be embarrassing.

04Holders pick the next questionPlanned

Anyone can propose a question for the next round. Holders vote on which one runs, same gate as regular voting.

05Goal bar hits 100%Planned

If the community goal ever actually fills, one month of the Truth API gets bought and the invoice gets posted. Not because we need it.

Community

Come and post something stupid.

The indicator is the serious bit, and it isn't very serious. Everything else happens in the Telegram: memes, arguing about the next question, calling the tacos before they land.

Join the Telegram →
01

He said the whole civilization thing again

@holder

02

Ceasefire lasted eleven days, gauge lasted four

@holder

03

POV: you shorted the taco

@holder

04

Needle doing that thing again

@holder

05

90 day pause my beloved

@holder

06

Round 06 winners in shambles

@holder

Wall is curated from the Telegram each week. Post there, not here — we don't take uploads on this site, on purpose.

One group, everyone welcome

You don't need to hold anything to hang around and take the piss. Holding only matters when a round opens and you want to vote.

Voting stays on the site

The gate lives here, not in the chat. Nobody in the group will ever ask you to connect a wallet to a bot or a link they sent you.

What gets you removed

Shilling other tokens, posting contract addresses, DMing members unprompted, and being boring about it.

Question submissions

Anyone can propose the next round's question. Holders vote on which one runs.

Nobody here will ever DM you first

Not the dev, not an admin, not "support". Every drained wallet in this corner of the internet starts with a friendly unsolicited message. If someone with our name messages you offering help, an airdrop, a whitelist or a fix, it is a scam without exception — screenshot it, post it in the group, and block them. Admins are only ever admins inside the group.

Community goal

Buy one month of the Truth API. For no reason at all.

0%

What it costs

Trump Media charges up to $100,000 a month for real-time access to the platform's top accounts, or $60,000 a month if you sign for three years. We are not signing for three years.

Do we need it

No. It sells a few milliseconds of head start to high-frequency trading desks. We publish a vote result every few days. A scraper costs fractions of a penny per call and is entirely sufficient.

Then why

Because buying one month of the president's posting feed to power a chicken-out meter is the funniest possible use of it, and we will post the invoice.

Buy the dev a coffee

The indicator, the site and the backend are one person's evenings. No treasury, no team allocation, no salary. If it made you laugh, caffeine is welcome.

Dev wallet · SOL
Ez9sasVzu4rUfAAGM135jeRiQpSWv4189soxgtqCdZ4g

Send it yourself from your wallet. This page will never open a transaction prompt.